So it really does not need much intelligence to see the trend going on. The reason is clear.
It isn't. As finding the right data on this is a bit hard, you can take a look at total fees per day. They balance out.So you say I'm not sure but you post numbers where you are not sure too. 
Not sure whether trolling, stupid or both. I never said that I'm not sure, I said that I can't find the exact link to the exact calculations (hence why "~" was used).Anyway... segwit first needs adoption to have an effect. This takes time.
If people want more TX capacity, they will adopt it quickly, otherwise they are indirectly stating that they don't want additional capacity. Simple as that.Sure I keep bitcoins in my wallet. But to send it wherever I want. I would not bind them into a payment channel to some exchange only because I might send some bitcoins there in the future. Why should I when I could freely decide about it? So no, I don't really see usecases for myself nor for most users.
Who said that you would only be able to send/receive between yourself and the exchange? Are you sure that you know how LN is supposed to work (in theory)? Because from what I see, you don't.