Well, the price of bitcoin is continuous rising until now. I think it's because halving more close now and the price increase a bit day by day until halving come.
0.2% down for this day,would you say bitcoin continue rising?i think bitcoin just like usual,raise and down in every week,last week bitcoin touch $460 and now the price down to $455,its mean bitcoin price not have any big influenced if halving come.
During the last 2-weeks, there was a 10% rise (from $420 to $460). Also, during the past nine months, there was almost a 100% increase in the exchange rate (from $230 per coin to $460 per coin). And it seems that the exchange rates will increase further, as the block reward halving is just two months away (11 Jul 2016).
I think you are right, BTC rise because the block reward halving is just two months away (11 Jul 2016).
Miners will not sell below production cost.