Post
Topic
Board Gambling
Re: bustabit.com -- The Social Gambling Game (formerly moneypot.com)
by
DarkDays
on 16/05/2016, 20:43:12 UTC
I believe that you are wrong. If there is a large trend of low multipliets, then the next bets are more likely to be higher because although the 2 games are independent the chance of losing grows less. Think of a coin. The chance to get 2 tails in a row is (1/2 * 1/2) or 1/4. There is a similar effect at bustabit. So yes, I believe that the rounds are linked. You can't predict it, but you can get a greater chance at winning.

I am positive that you are wrong.  In a fair random game, past incidences don't influence future events.  So saying "its very unlikely that it'll crash low four times in a row" is only true if you are talking about four FUTURE times.  Not if any of those incidences has already occurred.

Here's a better example: I flip a coin.  It lands tails three times in a row.  I get ready to flip it again.  Do you think it's more likely to land heads on this flip than tails?  Why?  The coin has no memory.