The halving is soon, the sensible prediction would be sideways 'ish' for a month or three. Then when the halving has had an effect we'll go to around $550-600 at least.
I guess it's possible a few whales could manipulate the price by selling a load of coins to crash the price pre halving & then buy back in before the predicted halving related rise.
Aside from that I haven't seen anything really negative that'd cause a sizeable drop.
Anybody else agree?