Here's a summary of the recent big bets. I wanted to see how s.dice made its money back. The first line says "there were 17 winning bets of 10 BTC on lessthan 12000 and 125 losing bets with the same stake and target, making a net loss (for the player) for 506 BTC":
The majority of the losses were on the lessthan 24000 bets. Here are graphs of the probabilities of the number of wins for 3 cases. In all 3 cases the actual number of wins is pretty far left on the graph:
stake 150 BTC, target <24000, 71 bets, 19 wins, 52 losses:
stake 250 BTC, target <24000, 21 bets, 2 wins, 19 losses:
stake (all 4 stakes), target <24000, 157 bets, 41 wins, 116 losses:
Incidentally, how's the font look in the table inside the 'quote' above? It's much easier to read than the one I usually use, but does it show up well for you too?
Quote
wins losses
------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------
count target stake profit total profit count target stake profit total profit net profit
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------
17 <12000 10 43.35211333 736.98592661 125 <12000 10 -9.9505 -1243.8125 -506.82657339
2 <12000 20 86.70472666 173.40945332 8 <12000 20 -19.9005 -159.204 14.20545332
32 <16000 10 30.02646000 960.84672 77 <16000 10 -9.9505 -766.1885 194.65822
14 <16000 50 150.13430000 2101.8802 30 <16000 50 -49.7505 -1492.515 609.3652
18 <24000 100 167.01256666 3006.22619988 39 <24000 100 -99.5005 -3880.5195 -874.29330012
19 <24000 150 250.51910000 4759.8629 52 <24000 150 -149.2505 -7761.026 -3001.1631
2 <24000 200 334.02563333 668.05126666 6 <24000 200 -199.0005 -1194.003 -525.95173334
2 <24000 250 417.53216666 835.06433332 19 <24000 250 -248.7505 -4726.2595 -3891.19516668
84 <32000 100 100.38430000 8432.2812 72 <32000 100 -99.5005 -7164.036 1268.2452
74 <32768 100 95.69950000 7081.763 82 <32768 100 -99.5005 -8159.041 -1077.278
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------
28756.37119979 -36546.605 -7790.23380021
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------
------------------------------------------------- --------------------------------------------
count target stake profit total profit count target stake profit total profit net profit
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------
17 <12000 10 43.35211333 736.98592661 125 <12000 10 -9.9505 -1243.8125 -506.82657339
2 <12000 20 86.70472666 173.40945332 8 <12000 20 -19.9005 -159.204 14.20545332
32 <16000 10 30.02646000 960.84672 77 <16000 10 -9.9505 -766.1885 194.65822
14 <16000 50 150.13430000 2101.8802 30 <16000 50 -49.7505 -1492.515 609.3652
18 <24000 100 167.01256666 3006.22619988 39 <24000 100 -99.5005 -3880.5195 -874.29330012
19 <24000 150 250.51910000 4759.8629 52 <24000 150 -149.2505 -7761.026 -3001.1631
2 <24000 200 334.02563333 668.05126666 6 <24000 200 -199.0005 -1194.003 -525.95173334
2 <24000 250 417.53216666 835.06433332 19 <24000 250 -248.7505 -4726.2595 -3891.19516668
84 <32000 100 100.38430000 8432.2812 72 <32000 100 -99.5005 -7164.036 1268.2452
74 <32768 100 95.69950000 7081.763 82 <32768 100 -99.5005 -8159.041 -1077.278
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------
28756.37119979 -36546.605 -7790.23380021
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------- --------------
The majority of the losses were on the lessthan 24000 bets. Here are graphs of the probabilities of the number of wins for 3 cases. In all 3 cases the actual number of wins is pretty far left on the graph:
stake 150 BTC, target <24000, 71 bets, 19 wins, 52 losses:
stake 250 BTC, target <24000, 21 bets, 2 wins, 19 losses:
stake (all 4 stakes), target <24000, 157 bets, 41 wins, 116 losses:
Incidentally, how's the font look in the table inside the 'quote' above? It's much easier to read than the one I usually use, but does it show up well for you too?