...Is that what's happening right now? The classic age-old investing advice? Everyone's buying like crazy on the "rumour" in preparation for a big dump on the news? It would have to be a pretty big dump to counter-act the sudden mining supply halving, but whatever, sentiment can be pretty strong in either direction.

You disappear for a year and a half, then you waltz up in here like everything is fine and dandy and expect advice in one thread and now this?

Welcome back!
I have actually had this same thought recently. If LTC is any indication, the halving rally can be pumped up and dumped before the zero hour even hits. Since old timers know how it can potentially play out, and newer players want a piece of the action, everyone piles in early, front running the expected rally and exhaustion sets in prematurely. We also know how Bitcoin has the ability to take what is believed by the masses and run in the opposite direction as a sort of F U in the face of the market. Path of least resistance? Or path of greatest pain? That is the 21M BTC question.