I've been trying to compare 2014-2016 to 2011-2013 under the assumption that it's time to break ATH now but it doesn't make any sense and the structure/symmetry just isn't the same (not to mention the different timescales). In the 2011 chart you can see that bottom being reached to the left only 33% of the way through the chart. However in the 2015 chart you see bottom not being reached until 50% of the way through the chart and dragging on all the way through 75% of the way through the chart at roughly the same level. The bottoming out was much weaker and the jump to now supposedly try to challenge ATH is extremely sudden. Therefore, odds are most likely that we need another midterm consolidation of 6 months of to make an even chart. I see the following possibilities:
1. 25%: This is a trap and a sort of double top before another serious bear market.
2. 50%: There is going to be a 6 month consolidation phase before ATH is broken.
3. 25%: ATH is broken now.