Regardless of what people think, whether it be a rise or fall in price, I can guarantee you that the majority of investors and even miners will hold their coins through the halving purly out of curiosity. Also, with the publicity Bitcoin has been getting, and with these speculation threads and articles, new buyers will flock to exchanges and buy before the halving because they can't help it. It's basically gambling at this point and nobody can resist Bitcoin's mysterious volatility, especially if they're new to Bitcoin.

So I'm still a believer in a price spike