Post
Topic
Board Pools
Re: [35+PH] Kano CKPool kano.is 0.9% PPLNS US,DE,SG,DK,JP,FR
by
kano
on 29/06/2016, 23:13:48 UTC
...
no they did it on and off since 2015.  

here is some advice anytime a  50 block count goes under  75%  by very wary that the pool  has a problem.

may be an error on the pool or may be the pool is attacked or may be an unknown.

but 50 block luck under 75%  is not good.
...
You can calculate the CDF[Erlang] of that using the wolfram web page.

That of course is the CDF[Erl] number I show in the Block Statistics table at the top.

50 blocks, average luck 72.37% = mean 1.3818
http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=CDF%5BErlangDistribution%5B50%2C+50%5D%2C++1.3818%5D

That says the result is: 0.993105

So that's like you expect to average once in ~7200 blocks you'd expect luck to be that bad.

Organofcorti's post about CDF[Erlang]:
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=77000.msg10638159#msg10638159

Edit: ok I used the luck not the mean, oops, fixed above now, it should have been the mean Smiley