Here is my explanation for trading the current world economy and why I don't follow anything Armstrong says, because he would have to be an insider trader knowing when and what the govt will do beforehand like Soros for what he says to have any value. If the government took no action, there would be a black swan event and the system would all go down out of the blue one day. His data is useless against black swans, and his data is also useless unless he can predict when and if governments will act. It's a centrally run system, not an aggregate market by "capital flows".
if they don't create inflation, the system collapses. If they manage to do so, it would require helicopter money, basic income, or confiscating gold again and paying everyone who owns gold higher than market rate.
only problem is, only people who own gold is central banks and ETFs, so that plan can't work because the money wouldn't circulate
when your choice is collapse from deflation in 1 year time span for instance, or central banker intervention to collapse in 2 years from hyperinflation, they will always stretch out the collapse
using the tool of inflation
this is how they screw you though, with no central banker intervention in their rigged market, you get deflation and the price of everything collapses: houses, the value of gold, food, everything. So the central bankers sometimes insider trade the market and let the deflation happen, buy everything for pennies, then initiate inflation after.
so it's all about guessing if they let deflation occur first or just go straight from here to wheelbarrow hyperinflation
what if theres no deflation r0ach ?
i.e. the world economy does ok
china is exporting deflation to the US currently
and deflation collapses the system
so central bankers are forced to act
what if china stops doing that?
it's only a question of, do they let the deflation happen first and buy everything for pennies, or act to stop china
china can't
they have to keep devaluing to inflate away bad debts
to prevent systematic collapse
and of course, the US has to do the same thing
so it's a currency war
like I said, in a currency war of devaluation, both Bitcoin and metals would win in the end, but it seems like they do it by each nation taking turns to devalue one after another. So first China devalues and creates deflation here, then the US does it and it goes back to normal, then EU, and they keep doing rounds in a circle
and then maybe you have rogue nations that don't follow the script and just devalue to hell and back out of turn
it's unknown by most people if China + US + EU are following a script or not
if a larger nation breaks from an orderly script, that's when the fireworks start and you get super deflation or wheelbarrow hyperinflation
it's totally unpredictable