Please write reasons why BTC should go up/down and write how important it is.
For the moment after the reduction of the block reward to the half in the halving the profit of the miners will be reduced to half
So possibility number 1: if the price is stucked at the same value or decreased we may see few tiny miners quitting which may lead to the price rises
Possibility number 2: miners having their profit reduced so they will push the price forward which is very likely to happens
For now the miners still have a nice reserve so we need to wait and see