i don't think that we will be back to 400$ soon as price now is 650$ and we had halving 1 week ago so i am pretty sure that price won't fall down but will rise only
Compared to the $400 price, the bitcoin price will not fall down to that value. The price will be higher now.
If the price goes back to 400 dollar. A lot of miners (90%) of them will have problems to pay for their electricity. So yes it can happen, but the mining cartel will not allow the price to go this low, because their million dollar rigs will be put to waste.
In china its not how it works. They go by a yearly basis of a paid off pre-paid contract terms, you look into the details by asking a chinese friend near that province but they do it in taipei as well.
So regardless if its up or down the electrical side is already taken care of, its more of the person adding more units or replacing is the factor.
As for the cartels - assuming its the drug cartels getting on the mining game as well - then I wouldnt know their setup.