Post
Topic
Board Service Discussion (Altcoins)
Re: freedoge.co.in hacks your ballance
by
wetsuit
on 22/07/2016, 03:10:58 UTC
A lot of smart guys that are very good for advice but don't know too much about math. Where is math is not bad luck, you can loose once if you catch a small probability but this will not happen many times. For me this is not the only experience with freedoge.co.in, that's why I was pissed off.
And everything you try to speculate is not real because I forgot to mention that initially I fixed 10000 rolls and I had a very good balance that could cover a bigger losing streak, but I stopped it and restarted a few times(the most accurate would be probable 500 trials that will lead to 0.24%).
Anyway be happy with what you earn undeserved.

I didn't use the faucet at that time, I deposited some dollars.

FYI wetsuit below are the links NOT to visit as these calculators have errors in them still:

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-tools/streak-calculator/
http://www.casinoreview.org/resources/caculator/streak-calculator/
http://completecurrencytrader.com/Tools/streak-probability-calculator.php
http://www.beatingbonuses.com/calc_streak.htm

Still the last 2 links will give you 0% probability for 100,000 rolls.

Use this one that is very accurate:
http://maxgriffin.net/CalcStreaks.shtml    and maybe you will change your mind.
My user ID is the same on freedoge.co.in. Anyway because we are talking about probabilities, I'm 100% sure you can not recognize anything if something is wrong.


Since you chose to ignore my offer, here it is again...

Using the calculator you provided and setting the win chance at 0.95 (95% chance of loss because the win chance is 5%) - "The probability of a streak of at least 173 consecutive successes in 100000 trials is 50.33%." So if you have a 95% chance of loss, the chance of a streak of 173 is nowhere near 0.01% as you imagine.

http://completecurrencytrader.com/tools/streak-probability-calculator/ - 50.3% chance over 100,000 rolls with a loss probability of 0.95
http://www.beatingbonuses.com/calc_streak.htm - again 50.3%

Check your calculations before making accusations.

There are no usernames in freebitco.in and freedoge.co.in. You can find your user id in the PROFILE page, it will be a number.

How about this to settle this once and for all:

I am willing to put 1.1 BTC in escrow if you do the same and we can get an expert to verify the probability of losing 173 rolls in a row with a 5% win chance over 100,000 rolls. If it is 25% or lower, you win and if it is higher than 25%, I do. The winner keeps 2 BTC and the expert/escrow gets 0.2 BTC. We can use either dooglus or RHvar as both the escrow and the expert (if they agree to it).