Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Wall Observer - MtGoxUSD wall movement tracker
by
molecular
on 28/02/2013, 21:48:58 UTC
just want to add this

when the Bid side is usually weak there isnt a sell off (no money to get maximum value), when the bid side is Super filled that is usually when I notice some big action moving

when the Ask side is usually strong there is usually big buys since there are alot of bitcoins sitting waiting to be scooped up,

this is just a observation from watching the price practically 24/7 with my other assets

I've observed the same thing. If this has some merit, it means that another big dump right after one is unlikely (because bids are very thin in the cleared area). The only options are up or slow grind down or sideways.

This further means that most likely the next dump will happen only after we've moved substantially higher (this fills in lots of bids) or we've gone sideways for a comparably long period (this also fills in bids, but much slower).

All in all I think these dumps and the breathtakingly quick recoveries from them are very healthy for quite a few reasons. One of the important ones is that it instills confidence. Another one is that money changes hands from people who are likely well in the profit zone (bought substantially lower) to hands who are just getting into the game. This decreases the overall willingness to sell until the price moves up again. It also distributes "old money" to newcomers... a good thing. Of course this is fundamentally driven by newbs flooding in.