Ethereum classic is at 13% mining capacity now.
So now my 50-50% equilibrium theory doesnt sound so stupid after all? Stupid optimistic sheeps!
How stupid can people be for to think that 1 chain can totally absorb the other without dissent? There can never be 100% consensus, it is impossible.
That is why a hardfork should never happen in bitcoin.
As stated,
Eth block time and retarget is completely different?
Even with 13% hash power on your 2nd chain, you will only mine LESS than 1 block per hour. (maybe 2 blocks in 3 hours)
The 1st chain will mine NEARLY 5.5 blocks per hour.
Your 2nd chain, at 1mb, will confirm about 1500 median transactions per hour.
The 1st chain, presumably with a block size increase, will be able to confirm somewhere near 20 times that. 30,000 transactions per hour.
It will be months and months before difficulty STARTS to come down on your chain.
Difficulty on the 1st chain will be back to full speed in about 2 weeks. (after loosing half a block an hour, but presumably confirming more transactions in bigger blocks)
There will never be 100% willing consensus.
The outcome above is what forces the last few laggards to concede.
Do not confuse Ethereum with Bitcoin, RealcluelessBitcoin.