The probability of bitcoin hardfork should be the same as breaking ECDSA. That would make me sleep well at night.
Not trying to keep you up at night but,
Core seem to be promising a hard fork at some point within 18 months, AA says a hard fork will happen. The miners are ready to hard fork.
The probability of a Bitcoin hard fork is about 1. Breaking ECDSA is quite a lot harder than that.
Mathematically, in a different universe.
Anyway, keep making this stuff up "RealBitcoin". Your in for a few sleepless nights.