Halvings don't make the price go up. Correlation does not mean causation.
Last time the halving coincided with bitcoin being discovered by the mainstream press. And Cyprus happened when they confiscated people's savings in a bail-in for the banks.
There is no big news to bump up bitcoin this time. It's the opposite - Brexit is a victory for the people, it makes Britain safer as EU rules like confiscating people's savings no longer apply.
I have the same thought, the halvings don't have a total control of the price.
And I doubt the price will have a big up in a long term, maybe a good alt can make the bitcoin price stay low...