yeah trading is unpredictable job if you want to trade first you need to know that which currency is secure and strong and then you should start trading and trading is depend on you if you have good knowledge about trading then you are good trader.
always make a deep research before doing some trade eve good traders lose so to avoid that to happen make sure you know which is which
are you going to support, dev and project plan is really important if you are in alt trading i guess.
i agree with you , and you are right that first you make a deep research and then start trading and i think that trading is very easy way to make profit but just need focus and skill in trading then you can be a good trader.