You are making it to complicated for yourself. Like I said, my entry point was mostly around 0.50 USD and then around 2-3 USD and nevertheless I decided to jump in with some money at 6 USD because it is still cheap. You should also be aware that every day following positive news/rumours could come out:
- GUI wallet finished
- another exchange added XMR
- another DNM adds XMR (would not be so surprised by this)
- not to forget a growing community and as I can see also some new developers
In this case you will stand on the earth and see the evil green rockets start, while muttering how it was too expensive.
Yes you are 100% correct, but i have decided to always stick to my rules and my rule for xmr is not to buy above 0.011 (i own 470 xmr already). I would of course never sell at this level, the price is more likely to go up than down now.