Post
Topic
Board Development & Technical Discussion
Re: Is the 21 million bitcoin limit unchangeable?
by
kjj
on 22/03/2013, 15:36:26 UTC
When 21 million is reached the bitcoin community might reach the conclusion that inflation is needed and invent InflationCoin.

Inflation is needed mainly because of these simple reasons:
1) a significant percentage of bitcoins will be lost because of crashed harddrives, lost passwords, lost wallets and so on... maybe 1-2% per year?
2) The human psychology likes growth - it is not a coincidence that central banks have a inflation target of 2%. That gives the population the illusion of a growing economy since your salary, your house and your stocks go up in price. People are happier in a low inflation economy than in a deflation economy. The small inflation will also inspire the population to invest their savings in an attempt to beat the inflation – that makes the economy grow.

So in conclusion bitcoin needs an inflation of 4% to adjust to a growing economy.

The main difference between InflationCoin and Federal Reserve fiat dollar is that InflationCoin cannot print more than 4% per year to bail-out banks, finance budget deficits, finance wars and so on...

1) Assuming 2% loss per year, the number of bitcoins remaining at year x is BTCremain(x)=0.98x.  Note that this value never reaches zero.*
2) I've never seen any documentation of this.  The people that get that 2% per year before it becomes inflation certainly do like it.  I've had a $100 bill in my wallet for a couple of years now.  Do you really think that I like that it can't buy as much as it could when I bought it?  The bitcoins I picked up in 2011 can buy a lot more than than they did back then.  How do you think I feel about that?

You can hardly swing a cat on these forums without hitting people that share my view on the matter.

* You actually need a bit of calculus to think that it can.  The limit as x approaches infinity is indeed zero.  But since x is time, we'll have bigger problems long before it approaches infinity.