Post
Topic
Board Economics
Re: Deflation and Bitcoin, the last word on this forum
by
deti
on 04/06/2011, 23:03:27 UTC
If you think deflation is just the devil, then fine, don't use bitcoin, just watch
I wish for deflation to increase even more because I mined quite a bit of coins last year and I'm sitting on them. The only problem is that it's too good to be true. Nothing keeps rising forever, period. You're committing the same sin of modern governments who keep borrowing and think it can go on forever, just in reverse. Stability is the keyword here. The hell with deflation AND INFLATION. Nobody takes a currency which skyrockets ten-fold in a month then drops to half in 10 days seriously.

Suggester, the BTC price will become much more stable as soon the worth of all BTC (~ 21 million) is around the worth of all currencies of the world (BTC is a global currency), or already if it is much below, lets say 1/3 of the global money worth.
If the day comes you have to pay 1 million USD for 1 BTC, I guess the price will become more stable.  Smiley    But even then it will vary from minute to minute as normal currencies do.
The stability of real and widely use will make it stable in price. At the moment the use is far from stable and so is its worth. This will take time!!!
Later the deflation will be around the average increase of the economic growth on earth (in case of decrease => inflation).

I think one reason governments don't like deflating currencies is because then they can't pay back their liabilities (because the worth of the money they have to pay back increases) or they have to increase the taxes much, what people (voters) don't like!!! For a government it's easier to let the worth of the money decrease by inflation, then increase the taxes to solve the financial problems. Normally central banks do the money regulation so the politicians are not the bogeymen, but when increasing taxes they are.
Using a deflating currency will force governments to increase taxes or they will not be able to fulfill their social obligations. But it will also give incentive to governments to save money because its better for them to hold the money and spend it later, the opposite behavior as at the moment! I think also in this point (taxes/real social costs) BTC can be a more honest/clearer currency then the currencies nowadays.

Give BTC a chance! Smiley