Where we are, at around $750 today, reminds me a lot of where we were in October 2013 at around $120. An ATH of $3500-$6000 seems very possible within the next 2-3 months.

The higher market cap is making things move slower this time around IMO. No one sitting on a couple million extra USD is like "I need to convert this to BTC tomorrow." They're just sitting there soaking up the liquidity, occasionally dumping a bit to shake weak hands and buy back lower. This hasn't been the case with prior runups because the order of magnitude was lower, and I believe that it is effecting the time scale on your charts. That said, just because it has been slow to this point doesn't mean it can't pickup in a liquidity crunch.

I would be very interested to see this analysis done based on market cap rather than price of individual coins, and maybe using some kind of log(market cap) multiplier on the timescale to reflect the latency moving money out of the banking system into the market as the market cap increases.