Arsenal can beat Stoke City in today clash so from my point of view at home ground Arsenal is in very strong position that is why I'm quite sure about and will take over 2.5 goals for this meeting, Arsenal need 3 points to keep into top teams because the competition getting more harder now.
Let me rephrase that for you, arsenal will beat stoke city. They need to keep 3 points, they are currently only 3 points below chelsea and there is no way to tell if chelsea gonna lose their next game or not however it is almost positive that chelsea wont lose their next game either so what arsenal could do is to keep on winning