The Key Points- The note is particularly bearish on China and global commodities, and predicts that oil could fall as low as $16 a barrel.
- In a grim set of predictions, Andrew Roberts, head of European economics, rates & CEEMEA research said that the world has far too much debt to be able to grow well.
- He also warned that advances in technology and automation are set to wipe out up to half of all jobs in the developed world.
- The note says equities could fall 10% to 20%.
- It predicts the year will be spent focusing on how to exit positions that have benefited from long-running QE, including emerging markets, credit and equities.
As usual, these financial predictions for 2016 failed. As we all know, we have seen historic records in markets and oil prices have also improved a lot.
But of course, this is the real business of economists: generating uncertainty to get new clients to advise on the eternal big crash to come.