Its really hard to be anything but "100%" accurate if you predict it could go either up or down.

And all you tea leave readers, the only thing you are trying to predict is... tea leave reading. If you'd all switch to using atmospheric pressure data in Tweebuffelsmeteenskootmorsdoodgeskietfontein (yes, that is a village in South Africe), instead of BTC exchange data, you'd get about the same result.