Meanwhile the latest S9v1 statistics on the pool since the S9 existed:
They've found 82 Blocks, but expected to have found (BDR) 110.666 ...
28.666 ... of all 37 "short"?They've found 82 Blocks, but expected to have found (BDR) 110.666 ...
We're back on the whole "the S9s are the entire reason for our bad luck" thing again?
...
I'm not sure what your trying to say ...
As for the probability of that particular number, its CDF[Erl] is 0.998094 so expected to be worse about once in 43,000 blocks ...
Your comment implies linear, statistics are not.
e.g. the A6+? stats are:
They've found 74 Blocks, but expected to have found (BDR) 84.22
10.22 short.
But the CDF[Erl] for that is a lot lower 0.880096 so expected to be worse about once in 617 blocks ...
617 vs 43,000 ... yep they're dramatically different
Though some time soon I do a pretty graph that makes it even more obvious ...