...the summary is that around 2020 or so the Russians start to have problems keeping up with exports...
Confiscation of the oil companies by Putin's corrupt oligarchs wouldn't have anything to do with that would it. Another example is Venezuelan production after they nationalized the oil industry, because ongoing investment (and technology from major oil companies) is required.
Corruption. Or the Iron Law of Political Economics which is that governance will always overcentralize.
And remember Russia also is the source of the science on abiotic oil theory which states oil is replenished by the earth.
This is probably why the US is subsidizing the hell out of Elon Musk. But, getting rid of gasoline and using coal to power literally everything would likely make every human habitat on earth resemble ecological disaster China, so I'm not sure how much of a solution that is.
Society is simply deciding that cheaper environmentally unfriendly energy sources are less desired than more expensive solar panels. It is a rational decision, because energy cost is not the fundamental or major driver of the Knowledge Age economy.
The theoretical area of the small black dots is sufficient to supply the world's total energy needs of 18 TW with solar power:

Following the work of Russell Ohl in the 1940s, researchers Gerald Pearson, Calvin Fuller and Daryl Chapin created the crystalline silicon solar cell in 1954.[62] These early solar cells cost 286 USD/watt and reached efficiencies of 4.56%.[63] By 2012 available efficiencies exceeded 20%, and the maximum efficiency of research photovoltaics was in excess of 40%.[64]
Occam's Razor informs you that corruption is the reason. You don't need to invent some elaborate delusion.
No, Occam's Razor does NOT give you that conclusion for why they keep trying to ram carbon tax on people. It doesn't whatsoever. Mostly because you would need to believe there is a conspiracy among scientists, govt, liberal celebrities, etc, to falsify data, which might be the case, but Occam's razor doesn't give you that solution. Occam's razor is of ZERO USE for figuring out most things that go on in govt. You definitely don't figure out jews run the entire media and banks or that our entire foreign policy is based around benefiting their middle east cult using Occam's razor either, but that is the case. The only people that deny that current state of affairs are idiots and shills.
Again corruption, the
Iron Law of Political Economics which is that governance will always overcentralize.
No nightmares of Jewish boogeymen are necessary.
There is no peak energy. It is another religious, Malthusian delusion.
This is wrong once again.
See those tiny black dots on the image I posted.
The only constant is the Second Law of Thermodynamics which informs us that entropy is trending to maximum. The Knowledge Age is all about increasing entropy. You had better make sure you understand this and stop clinging to incorrect bullshit.
You keep repeating this nonsensical statement over and over.
Arguing with a zealot is a waste of my time. Enjoy.
You don't even seem to understand the science and math of what you are writing.