@franky1: Your post talks about the disadvantages of the soft fork, not about segwit itself. So you're not answering my question. For now, @waxwing is more convincing to me.

But I disagree with this statement:


Since November, we've had multiple days with full blocks. Many people already have complained about their transactions not getting confirmed. A higher fee would only solve the problem if a large part of the transactions could be considered spam (that means, transactions that would not be sent if the fee was higher).

But transaction volume is increasing steadily: Even if 30% of the current block size is made of spam, in a few months - given the actual growth rate - the blocks will be full of "legit" transactions. That's why I think it is somewhat urgent to do something. 2 MB (like with Segwit) will be enough for now. If there is nothing done, I fear if we have a boom or price rally in the next months transaction volume could explode and the scalability problems would be visible for everyone, bringing us a lot of bad news and disappointed users.

I wished both parties could "cool down" a bit, I don't want Bitcoin to die slowly because of shitstorms.