I find it really, really frustrating that you have a room full of otherwise hyperintelligent people, who were told in very clear terms by the Chinese miners what those miners want about a year ago (a hardfork increasing the max blocksize limit for the present type of transactions to at least 2 megabytes), and today, you have the same people asking in frustration why Chinese miners are not adopting segwit when those miners said in bright blinking cleartext a year ago what it is they want, and it is not segwit.
Do you think we must be controlled by Chinese miners? I would prefer decentralization
Do you think we must be controlled by Blockstream employees? The Chinese miners have stated their wishes to up the blocksize and Blockstream blocked their request. Now the Chinese miners are blocking Blockstream's changes. Bitcoin is still Bitcoin, and Segwit won't be adopted. Now we need to move forward and increase the blocksize so people can reliably transact with bitcoin. Thanks
Its too early to say. Segwit's activation is in October if I remember right. Over half a year away.
Hopefully by then some of the miners will realize that their support for the bugged, failed BU code costs them money and they will come to the other side. Roger Wer already lost 12000$ on his failed code, and it has only been active a couple of months, in half a year he will be broke and cant pay his disciples.
So relax. BU will fail and Bitcoin will live