Post
Topic
Board Computer hardware
Re: Buying Avalon ASICs (not pre-orders! :P )
by
Minor Miner
on 08/04/2013, 20:46:14 UTC
Viceroy,

Best of luck in all of your endeavors, as previously stated I bet you're a blaring success.   Smiley


Skye,

Yea I really didn't mean it as an insult or as a steal. The price is climbing so rapidly,  you still have to gauge a real world valuation to it outside of BTC speculation. A pile of cash is a very nice thing to some people, but I believe if someone had the foresight to buy an ASIC prior to this market rise that they wouldn't really be interested in selling it.   Still, I have to let any potential person know that I'm buying.

Try thinking of the machine as a call option then, and try to price it.   the premium is how much you pay, the strike price is almost zero (the electric) and the number of contracts you have degrades but is around 4BTC per DAY currently.  and the VOL adds to the value of that call.   it is complicated but you can model it.   Or if that does not work, then just model the degrading income stream using assumptions and put a REALLY high discount rate on it.    You get astronomical numbers.
you are a few days late.  There was a guy on here from MA that was lamenting how little money his machine would make and he had not received it yet.   but instead of trying to rip him off, people helped him with the math.