Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: $500,000 per Bitcoin, baby. The math behind it.
by
w00t
on 12/02/2017, 13:32:02 UTC
Even today (I mean right here, right now) with all the problems Bitcoin has (and there is plenty - such as it doesn't scale well) it's already superior to gold so I don't see a reason why it shouldn't be on par with gold.

No way.  This post (from very early in this thread) is a bit dated because we are now in the next era but the point is still valid:

We cannot/do not want to get to $500,000 per BTC any time soon.  Here is the math behind it:

https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=694401.0

If BTC were to go to $500,000 in this era it would cause a catastrophic mining bubble:

   $500,000 x 25 = $12,500,000 per block = $75,000,000 per hour

   $75 million per hour would drive the mining to attempt to use 675 GW.  This is about 30% of all the power generated on the planet.

So, in order to keep our power consumption under about 2% of world wide power production, we cannot/do not want the price to get to $500,000 before era 6, which is about 2033 or so.


This is very interesting - thanks for re-posting it. Can you please post current numbers in this formula? P = (6(50/2e) + f)(x)(1 - g)/c [kW]

In your opinion what is the current maximum non-bubbly price?