What are the chances of another "China bans bitcoin for the 97th time" story sometime between now and $1242....

High, very high imho. That is press catnip when China does that. Easy gloom doom btc story to write
Then when btc pumps again they write the opposite piece to the moon. Rinse/Wash/Repeat.
Lots of eyeballs for both stories. Very little research needed but the over the top headline hook
last banning had such a tiny effect. i think if governments want to fuck with bitcoin now they are going to have to raise their game somewhat.