I can't imagine the pain and then the joy one would have gone through by betting on Moonlight and having La La Land being announced as the winner at first. The odds were terrible though for La La Land.
They hype La la Land so much that's why bettors think it is an easy money, I don't know if there is a monopoly that happens but base on my observation when a certain bet is a heavy favorites, it would not usually win. This does not apply in Oscars alone as the same scenario happened many times in sports and in politics. Maybe we should have to bet against the public all the time and stop analyzing bets.
of course it is because the experts are totally incompetent or they just have an agenda and outright lie.
I doubt they manipulate the results because of the bets, because the market is insignificant compared to sport betting and there are bigger interests than money
better make your own analysis and ignore the experts and the media
Yes you are right if you don't know the event better don't bet on that event based on experts suggestions. The expert suggestions are not always right, I had experience in US election the odds also favour to Hillary, and I am not belonged to the US. The media are also supporting her. So I thought she must win, but the result gave me a big shock. Trump won the election, and i lost my bet. So here also same but it is very tough to predict the right choice in this type of events.