not with those kind of bets you won't. I joined this forum just to try and get a slice of your bet but I was newbie restricted. your bet is a scaled down version of betting money on the world to end. if you win its immaterial. in this example if you win your bet you won 1.5 units of something losing value and if you lose the bet its 1.5 units of the same thing appreciating in value. The more "right" you are the less your bet is worth. how do you ever want to be on the other end of that?