i don't think so, unless you think that bitcoin can not genuinely grow its user base and have more transaction per second, let's face it bitcoin will eventually have million of transaction per sec if we want it to be adopted

also only antpool was with bitcoin unlimited, why you are including all other pools? i'm not aware of other pool that were supporting bitcoin unlimited, and even antpool was only directing 75% of his hash

also the number of TX on blockchaininfo, was at 2k per block since many months, and i don't remember any strong BU argument back then