snip
Thanks for clarifying Nico.
I don't have any real problem with your assessment. You have helped answer possibilities of who and why. I shall bear it in mind.
I do see some evidence that accounts under u=100,000 are more affected than accounts over u=100,000.
That does not mitigate admin from taking simple action's to counter this. (if they think mass hacked accounts is a bad thing)
Let me try to show here how clear this is to detect, and therefore how easy to counter it could be.
Let's just look at (some of) 1 day - Feb 19 2017. Lets look at the activity of the first 20 accounts from various round numbers as a sample, so
u=1000 - u=1020
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=1003 cookie 0 post March 07, 2017, 05:54:51 AM (was feb 19, 12.03pm)
God damn, that was feb 19 last i looked, now mar 7
(1002, 1004, 1005, 6, 7, 8, 9, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 18, and 1020 "do not exist", so not much to hack there)
u=2000 - u=2020
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=2003 McKyle025 0 post March 07, 2017, 04:07:31 AM (was feb 19, 12.03pm)
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=2004 marktaylor142 0 post March 07, 2017, 09:16:18 AM (was feb 19, 12.05pm)
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=2005 kavindave26 0 post March 07, 2017, 08:01:11 AM (was feb 19, 12.58pm)
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=2008 celina111 0 post March 07, 2017, 06:55:41 AM (was feb 19, 12.18pm)
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=2011 reverselockup23 0 post March 07, 2017, 10:31:53 AM (was feb 19, 12.45pm)
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=2012 nadav001 0 post March 07, 2017, 07:48:42 AM (was feb 19, 12.07pm)
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=2017 aranaahmed1 0 post March 07, 2017, 08:21:32 AM (was feb 19, 12.05pm)
Ok, these were all feb 19 as well, now all mar 7 also. This is exactly why admin need to save "snapshots" of activity of all accounts as i described.
(2001, 2002, 6, 13, and 2014 "do not exist")
u=3000 - u-3020
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=3000 Rai 12 post February 19, 2017, 12:19:35 PM (last post 2011)
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=3003 v-tim 3 post February 19, 2017, 12:33:30 PM (last post 2011)
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=3011 tyler123 0 post February 19, 2017, 12:19:50 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=3019 ngatyeu87 0 post March 01, 2017, 02:43:47 AM (was feb 19, 12.30pm)
So most of these are still feb 19. 1 changed, again showing how the evidence is slowly dispersed.
(3002, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 14, 15, and 2016 "do not exist")
u=4000 - u=4020
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=4011 brynfrlin 0 post February 19, 2017, 12:28:49 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=4014 aq8586 0 post February 19, 2017, 12:53:54 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=4017 menoskedos 0 post February 19, 2017, 12:47:28 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=4018 qaz22 0 post March 01, 2017, 08:05:16 AM (was feb 19, 12.46pm)
Most still show feb 19. 1 change to march 1 same as above list.
(4001, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 16, 19, 4020 "do not exist")
Lets skip 5000 accounts to this list i quoted on previous page,
u=9000 - u=9020
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=9003 Micro333 0 post February 19, 2017, 01:18:36 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=9005 Qrr 2 post February 19, 2017, 01:28:59 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=9009 Trance555 0 post February 19, 2017, 01:28:07 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=9011 twadsworth 0 post February 19, 2017, 01:16:27 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=9012 FictionWobbles333 0 post February 19, 2017, 01:27:05 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=9013 MoodFool333 0 post February 19, 2017, 01:28:08 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=9014 marish 0 post February 19, 2017, 01:38:06 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=9015 BlackRunner111 0 post February 19, 2017, 01:15:55 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=9016 jhallsworth 0 post February 19, 2017, 01:28:12 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=9020 carter 0 post February 19, 2017, 01:20:13 PM
I think these are still correct.
And on to u=11000 - u=11020
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=11003 breakbank4 0 post March 01, 2017, 06:27:51 AM (was feb 19, 2.08pm)
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=11007 yashrajskio 0 post February 28, 2017, 10:27:43 PM (was feb 19, 2.08pm)
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=11008 ronanlepp 0 post February 19, 2017, 02:07:35 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=11010 jacktralia 0 post February 19, 2017, 01:53:45 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=11014 ameldajones 0 post February 19, 2017, 02:07:52 PM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=11019 slotcar101 0 post February 19, 2017, 01:59:50 PM
Couple changed. 1 mar 1st again. Dispersing the evidence. But as i had it recorded, it can never be lost - as theymos can easily do.
See how the time frame goes from around 12pm - around 2pm over 11000 accounts, short work!
theymos could confirm my "was feb 19" time and date is accurate, if he saved the correct info, and if he could be bothered.
So regardless of weather it is 100,000 accounts or "just" 10's of thousands, i hope it is clear how easy it is to spot.
This carries on on different dates, 27 January 2017 for example,
u=25,000 - u= 25020
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=25005 inertiatic 0 post January 27, 2017, 05:50:53 AM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=25007 Jepp 0 post January 27, 2017, 06:10:37 AM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=25008 bottommaster 0 post January 27, 2017, 06:11:44 AM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=25014 basseffekt 0 post January 27, 2017, 05:51:37 AM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=25017 badinstincts 0 post January 27, 2017, 05:52:50 AM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=25018 pero991 6 post January 27, 2017, 05:59:17 AM (last post 2011)
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=25019 dragoon1001 0 post January 27, 2017, 05:42:25 AM
https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?action=profile;u=25020 MrMaple 1 post January 27, 2017, 05:58:58 AM (last post 2011)
And the list goes on and on. The time rota being totally obvious.
So after looking at 140 accounts, minus around 40accounts "do not exist", so 100 possible accounts to hack, 42 are hacked here.
That equates to around 40% of all early accounts being hacked. (early accounts in this sample)
All clear as day.
No reason for mods to spout "there is nothing we can do". (i presume admin are saying the same to themselves)
theymos must save the data as previously instructed by me (take him a few minutes) or forever be complicit in this.