you are obviously ignoring factual information. the chances of a potential chain split are equal to how they were when there was a massive amount of panic going through the market. just out of interest, what gives you the impression that the possibility of a fork is further away than before?
Signalling, yes. The node count is so unstable and flaky it's hard to tell what's going on.
As for sentiment, I don't see it becoming anything other than increasingly sceptical of BU ever happening. The sheer amount of vulnerabilities being turned up on a near daily basis and the fact that those signalling are all using Core to do it says enough.