Ok, maybe, but it was also a transaction made by someone that never believed bitcoin would be worth very much. Just like all the 50 btc VIP forum members. Either that or all the VIP members really did want to spend $50,000 to impress a bunch of strangers.
If we view intelligence from a perspective of subjective hindsight we are always going to come up with messed up conclusions. It's ok if you do it on your own, but as a group it makes coherent dialogue impossible.