I just started a blog this week where me and a buddy or two will post our mining experiences. I posted my first round of math there and all the info that backs up my conclusion. Please check it out and give me your feedback here.
http://mineshaft.me/2013/04/initial-roi-estimates/Thanks! Looking forward to the discussion.
Thanks for your work and thoughts on this trance. Will look forward to your analysis as the days and weeks go on, because I'm sure you can start comparing the daily hash rates and see just how quickly they increase and once you've got that statistic plotted you can overlay that to your numbers and see a few things; like: "Does the hash rate increase seem to match your proposed new ASICs influx?" or "Does the influx of
new GPU miners account for the more gradual build in the hash rate"?
Wishing you the best!