Post
Topic
Board Mining speculation
Re: Difficulty after BFL
by
trance1999
on 15/04/2013, 02:42:44 UTC
We did it as a shared google doc.  We'll either figure a way to share that with everyone or I'll make an excel doc with it.  But then you can put in any amount for added non-BFL.  And you can put in your order number and see a graph for you.

I was chatting with some other ppl today who said that BFL's first batch was 21TH.  But honestly that would only cover about 700 x 25GH units.  By that measure, they'll be sending one of these "batches" every day or two.

I thought I had heard that BLF-Josh said that anyone who had ordered in the last two weeks would get theirs by July.  But now I can't find that quote again.

I did find this on their website: https://forums.butterflylabs.com/showwiki.php?title=FAQ:Real+Shipping+Estimate.

Quote
PPS, It maybe best to go with 50% cancel & 2 units/order. That will make this shipping "guess" closer to both 30 & 70% because half way in-between them. This would make sense since the actual cancelled orders are unknown by us and could be somewhere between 30-70%.
33,000 * .5 * 2 = 33,000 units / 2,000 = 16.5 weeks = 4.125 months ​+ delivery time.

This falls more in line with the guessing that we did.  I'm going to write them and ask some direct questions.  Note that this was a while ago.  They're up to order number 40000 now and I doubt that the 1000 orders a day they're getting now includes ANY cancellations.