Whales will do what makes the most economics sense, i.e. that which is most profitable. Thus they will do what I wrote.
Math and economics game theory isn't something you can argue with. It is either stated correctly, or you must point out the error. There was no valid error pointed out by anyone about my logic.
I wrote "I think" as a way of saying I am open to reading anyone valid errors in my logic. So far, I have seen no such valid errors pointed out.
The future has not yet come to prove (or disprove) anyone's logic.
To say one's logic of the future is correct as of today, is to suggest self-fulfilling prophecy.
Spiritually, that is akin to handing one's creative power to a 3rd-party that does not have one's interest at heart.