Well you are assuming there will be a network split...
You assume there won't?
if BU, XT, classic wanted to split off without majority they woulda done it by now.
they would have even done it when gmax begged them
What you are describing is what I and others call a bilateral hardfork-- where both sides reject the other.
I tried to convince the authors of BIP101 to make their proposal bilateral ... Sadly, the proposals authors were aggressively against this.
The ethereum hardfork was bilateral, probably the only thing they did right--
and when all the REKT campaigns begged them to F**K off
but no BU, XT, classic and the rest are just plodding along waiting for natural consensus. no threats, no PoW bombs. no blackmails.. no deadlines. just free open choice.