No one can make a precise forecast of bitcoin. It is necessary to trust intuition and invest that part of the money that is not terrible to lose, the risk is in any investment.
I agree with you, there is always risk in anything even in investment. Before investing into something make sure that you already know the risk and the possibilities that can happen and also the worst case scenarios so you are already prepared for the things that will come in the future and also do not invest what you can't afford to lose.