Post
Topic
Board Speculation
Re: Are we makeing up time for the lost years between 2013 and now or pump & D
by
jubalix
on 01/05/2017, 10:50:29 UTC
Not true at all.  The amount of liquidity on exchanges is mind-boggling small and the vast majority of Bitcoin isn't even in circulation.  It wouldn't even take a quarter of that to pump up the price that far unless loads of hodlers give up and start dumping their old Bitcoin on exchanges.

Yeah. People tend to forget that it's just a fraction of all bitcoins mined which are actually "alive" and circulating. In reality, numbers we should be considering in practical sense of market cap are definitely a lot smaller.
Market cap is a meaningless number anyway when referring to currencies.  Bitcoin is very unusual and it shouldn't be treated like the shares of a company - it's different and it's impossible to tell how much is in use or how much is lost or so many other factors.  Some people just like their soundbites.

good points all BTC is sui generis, and market cap does not really capture its value.

Also the amount in circulation is so much smaller than the supply. I mean 1 mill seem to be gone via satoshi, and everyone else with any sense, has most of thier BTC locked in cold storage, or they will lose it on an exchange eventually. Then there is the natural attrition via lost HD's, deaths etc.

The more I think about it the more I think BTC is going 5K or 10K sooner that later, but there will be a few shakeout on the way.