I am expecting that once Bitcoin Unlimited gets over 50% of the hashing power then they will have enough confidence to attempt to win the battle of the block size. I am expecting that once they are over 50% they will start their hard fork and hence create two competing Bitcoins. Then chaos for everybody.
But I also just saw this on the BU website:
"Would Bitcoin Unlimited start a hard fork? No, Bitcoin Unlimited doesnt implement a hardfork by itself. Even if 100 percent of the miners use Bitcoin Unlimited. If the economy doesnt want a hardfork, miners would only waste money trying. This is part of Nakamoto Consensus."
Now I am as confused as ever about when to expect the BU hard fork to occur. Can anybody explain that quotation in more relevant English for me? Are they saying that there will never be 2 competing Bitcoins? Do you think we will have any warning at all before the BU fork happens, or they will launch it suddenly as a surprise some time? I am afraid this surprise can suddenly come tomorrow, every time I go to bed!
I guess bitcoin unlimited will not win in the battle of the blocksize. Just recently many nodes of bitcoin unlimited had crashed since BU code contains many bugs and always ending up in error. I am not against BU but this time around a hardfork is not yet needed but possibly in the future when bitcoin network is ready a safe hardfork may be accepted.