I should add that there is a slack channel, a private one that's been going on for the past 8 weeks. Craight Wright, from nChain, suspected to be one of the Satoshi team, has poked holes at SegWit, and there is a plan underway to hard fork. This has not been mentioned anywhere publicly on media. But to me, it seems like the kind of event that could trigger an unexpected downturn. And its the only case, a black swan event, where i could see such a huge drop.