I do not usually agree with you but I think you got this pretty well.
Right now I think Monero is severaly overpriced and hyped coin with a lot of downside risk but limited upside potential.
Alts are in a bubble - including XMR. Bear in mind, I sold already a nice part of my stash over 0.02 btc but I am not even considering buying anything at current prices despite it would be profitable.
Monero is lacking the most important thing which is marketing and hype. Therefore it cannot find new people adapting it and eventually the price will start declining as the old guys are starting to feel how hard it is to carry a heavy bag.
I guess you contradict yourself, Truecryptonaire, here. At first, you think "Monero is severaly overpriced and hyped coin" and then you say that "Monero is lacking the most important thing which is marketing and hype".
Well, Monero is hyped on this thread.
Outside of this thread not so much because there is no marketing. Marketing doesn't equal to circle jerking how awesome Monero is.