Re: Whats the likelihood of a coin/network split/fork come Aug 1?
UASF is getting propulsion and Core devs back it up if there'll be vast nodes' support. I doubt very much that jihan dare to split without community he's nothing 
"I hate Jihan Wu for agreeing with a chain split""I think the solution is to do this chain split"
And then there's Quantus busy not being a hypocrite. UASF, at least BIP148, is very risky, and not only does it not have miner support (of course), it doesn't have node support yet either. There's still under one thousand nodes signalling for it.