With segwit activation on august 1st, I think a split is almost certainly going to happen.
I remember the first time I heard about a possible hard fork a few years ago, it freaked me out and I dumped all my coins.
I imagine there are a lot of people who have recently invested who are now at the same level of education I was at back then and they will be dumping out their coins.
So the price will probably drop quite a lot over the next 8 weeks, but the question is when and how much? I'm deciding between holding my coins, or selling them now and waiting for the dump then buying back even more.