I could save you some time - someone dumped 10k coins, and some others dumped 2 x 5000 earlier. People were not buying in masses in meantime.
That's it, I should patent a name for it, DUMPA20000 or something
That's it, I should patent a name for it, DUMPA20000 or something
yes, i was watching, and it was clear that the dump was a single or a few entities, not an emergent movement. there's a lot of bearish news in the air, and the market is short-term overbought. i'm trying to determine if we should expect $120 to hold, or if we're gearing up for a correction-to-the-correction of the bullish move to $165. i highly suspect these individuals were attempting to 'paint the tape', as a very bullish consolidation turned very suddenly into a very bearish picture. this event will be good to consider in another problem i'm working on, can/does price manipulation break standard methods of TA?.
also, you saved me precisely no time, because while it may seem 'obvous' that your hypothetical explanation is correct, it is not rigorous enough -- only a fool should be so sure of why any particular price movement occurs.
--arepo
Artificially increasing the volatility will only transfer money from them to me. There are lots of other market makers that feel the same. In the long run, it will make no difference.
However, this is an excellent example of why no TA is perfect (I know you don't believe this yourself arepo, just picking a teaching moment for new traders). People will do what they want despite what any sane trader would say about the chart. This is because many trade bitcoin who do not understand how to use short time frame TA properly: to make a planned trade more efficiently. Using it speculatively is very risky when you look at short time frames.